UEFA Champions League 4-Season Stats : Dominant Ronaldo Needs Help, and Lewa and Muller Deserve More Appreciation.

Tonight, all the eyes will be on the return of the most prestigious club competition in the world, UEFA Champions League. In this article, we will take a look back at some 4-season stats of the competition (because 4 years is football’s magic number) and try to read what they imply.


 1- Bayern Don’t Know When To Score :

Bay vs Atl.jpg

Over the last 4 seasons, Real Madrid scored the most UCL goals among any teamm, netting 119 goals in total. This is anything but surprising since they were the only side who won the trophy twice in that period. Bayern comes second with 118, only one goal less than the European champions, while Barcelona, with 92 goals, comes third. The team with the highest goal/game percentage among the top three in Bayern Munich at 2.41, compared with 2.38 for Real and 2.04 for Barca. In fact, Bayern were the team with the most goals scored in 3 out of the last 4 seasons : 12/13, 14/15, and 15/16. Still, Bayern failed to reach the final, let alone win the trophy, for the last 3 seasons. Why didn’t their success match their attacking power ? Because they don’t score when they should.

bayern-vs-else

That obviously doesn’t apply to the season they won the trophy; The semi-final isn’t a bad place to score 7 goals, not at all. However, receiving 8 goals and not scoring any over 3 consecutive semi final matches is embarrassingly bad for a team of such quality. A single goal in the first legs against Real Madrid in 2014, Barcelona in 2015, or Atletico in 2016 could have changed the 2nd legs were played and ultimately the result of the entire tie. If Ancelotti, who was responsible for the humiliating 5-0 (Agg) defeat Bayern received against Real Madrid, can get his team to score goals when they should, Bayern have as good of a chance at winning the title as any other team.


2- Ronaldo Head And Shoulders Above The Rest :

R vs bay.jpg

If there is one thing the individual stats show, it’s that Ronaldo has been superior to any other attacking player, and by far. He had the highest total of goals and assists over the last 4 seasons at 69. Messi comes second with 42. That’s right, Ronaldo is higher than the 2nd best by 64% ! Lewanadowski and Muller aren’t far behind Messi at 39 and 36 respectively.

ronaldo-totalmessi-totallewa-totalmuller-total

Surprisingly, both Bayern Player surpass the Argentine when it comes to goals and assists in KO stages. Muller has 19 and Lewa has 16 compared to Messi’s 14. For that, they deserve more appreciation than they are actually getting, especially Lewa who spent 2 of these 4 seasons with Dortmund. Of course, Ronaldo is again far above everyone with 30 goals and assists in KO stages, 58% higher than 2nd place Muller.

ronaldo-komuller-kolewa-komessi-ko

I would Include the “per game” statistics, but that wouldn’t make much sense. That’s because a player’s contributions may result in him having more matches; If Ronaldo didn’t score a hat-trick against Wolfsburg, he would’ve played 2 less matches. If Messi didn’t score a brace against Bayern, he would’ve played one match less. With that in mind, it’s unfair to hold matches a player “earned” against him.


3- Dominant Ronaldo Needs Help :

R vs Juve.jpg

As unbelievably good as Ronaldo’s end product has been, there is still one problem : The team doesn’t help him as much as he helps the team. Comparing him to the other top 3 players shows that very clearly.

For teams like Real, Barca, and Beyern, getting through the group stages is a given, so let’s not talk about that. Knockout Stages are the real concern. Messi, Muller, and Lewandowski have all scored/assisted 30-40% of their team’s goals in KO stages over the last 4 seasons (37%, 35%, and 33% respectively), which is a respectable percentage that doesn’t ring any alarm bells. Ronaldo, on the other hand, has scored/assisted 61% of Real Madrid goals in KO stages over the same period. That’s more than 150% than the other three did.

ronaldo-rationmessi-rationmuller-rationlew-ration

Ronaldo’s highest contribution percentage came in 2014/15 when he scored or assisted an astonishing 88% (7 out of 8) of Real Madrid’s KO stages goals, that’s way too high for one player even if his name is Cristiano Ronaldo. The highest percentages of both Muller and Messi were nearly half of that of Ronaldo, at 44% and 43% respectively. In fact, both percentages are lower than Ronaldo’s lowest over the last 4 seasons (54% – 12/13). Lewandowski’s highest contribution percentage (54%) is 2% higher than CR7’s lowest, but nowhere near his highest.

Another telling in this subject comes from BBC and MSN goals and assists records over the last two seasons. While the contributions of Barcelona’s trio are rather balanced with each of Neymar and Suarez contributing in (i.e. scoring or assisting) 10 goals and Messi contributing in 9, the BBC’s contributions are as unbalanced as they come with each of Benzema and Bale contributing in 1 goal while Ronaldo contributed in 13.

At his current form, and given he stays fit for most of the season (unlike last season), Bale may be the one to finally provide proper help to Ronaldo.


 

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2 Comments

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  1. Hi Ahmad,
    Very nice article. Many websites and sport news media have now also discovered the pattern (because it became so obvious after this year’s performance) that Ronaldo has been far above others in the KO stage (but as far as I recall your post was the first to pint it out – actually the conventional wisdom was that Ronaldo did well mostly against weaker teams, which the numbers clearly dismiss). I think it would be nice if you did a new post with the numbers for this year too.
    By the way, there is one small mistake in the post. In Lewandowski best year his percentage (54%) is slightly higher than in Ronaldo’s worst year (52%).
    Cheers,
    Joao

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    • Hi Joao,
      I’m glad you liked the article. Thanks for the correction as well.
      I can’t confirm that I was the first to point Ronaldo’s superiority out, but I am sure I didn’t see anything similar to this or pointing out similar facts before.
      Yeah, people will try to dance around and talk down whatever Ronaldo achieved. Even after the incredible job he did his year, people tried to talk it down by saying that he did it because he is a box player, which he isn’t, not during the KO stages, and because he had a great team, as if he is the first box player, assuming he is for a moment, in a great team.
      I have an almost ready article about Ronaldo and the Champions League but, I don’t want to publish it in a random day but rather in a day where CR and UCL are main topics that people would search for because, well, I want views. The closest date I can think of is August 24, the day of the group stage draw.

      Thanks again !

      Like

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